I know their standings, and they're strength of schedules are off by .039. Sure it's not HUGE, but it makes a difference.
You're making a big deal about Houston? Houston knew what they had to exploit to get the win. If you remember week 2, where the Colts destroyed Houston 43 to 24 you know just as well as I do (hell you even said it) that flukes can happen.
Week 11 - Dallas beat them. Dallas is a GREAT team.
Week 13 - Tennessee beat them. Tennessee isn't a good team, and they showed that they can beat a good team.
Week 14 - Jacksonville beat them. On a blow out. You can't expect a team to be perfect every game.
Week 16 - What was Indy even playing for? After winning the division title the only thing they had going for them was home field advantage. It's not really THAT important so they didn't play up to par like they had been playing.
Of course Baltimore is going to be more favored, but that doesn't necessarily make them the better team. Baltimore has won ONE more game in the regular season, and one more in the conference standing.
To say that Indy doesn't have a remote chance in hell is like saying a 52" big screen LCD tv isn't fun to watch.
We'll see this weekend what happens. If Indy puts up the defense stats they had last week, we could win. If they play sloppy and get exploited in their mistakes, we might not.
All I know is that Indy can be consistent in the regular season, they finished with 14-2 last season and 12-4 this season. Where was baltimore last season? Ah yeah, knocked out with a 6-10 taking last place in their division.
It just depends on who wants it more, Baltimore or Indianapolis? Who knows, both might get knocked out of hte running here in the next few weeks.