i dont know if we are that far anymore -
the way I think about it, regardless of whether or not string theory (or any theory) is 'correct' or not, its more about "can it explain things correctly or not". what i mean by that is, for example, with gravity, we have a ball, we drop it and it falls. while we dont fully understand what gravity is, we DO know that the equation we have for it works ( at least on a macroscopic scale.. i dont know enough about the quantum macheanics to know how gravity works on microscopic scales, but its not important to my point). so in the end, as long as the equations we come up with can predict things correctly, they ARE 'correct' as far as i am concerend. when they find an exception to the rule, usually it means that they missed some term in the equation that was negligible at first but in certain cases is more important, but the rule itself is still prety much ok.
so unles they decide that string theory is completely wrong and cant predict anything, i think relatively soon - (meaning, in our lifetimes)
but im obviuoulsy being optimistic